Results of a Study on the Impact of Surface Ozone Concentration on the Spread of COVID-19 in Tbilisi

Main Article Content

Avtandil G. Amiranashvili
Nino D. Japaridze
Jumber F. Kharchilava
Ketevan R. Khazaradze
Aza A. Revishvili

Abstract

The results of a study of the influence of diurnal values of surface ozone concentration (SOC) on the infection positivity rate with coronavirus COVID-19 (IR) of the population of Tbilisi from October 8, 2020 to May 31, 2021 are presented. It was found that IR values are inversely correlated with SOC. For example, at ozone concentrations from 0 to 20 mcg/m3 values of COVID-19 Infection Rate on average was 18.5 %, whereas with SOC values from 80 to 100 mcg/m3 – only 2.3%. Connection daily values of IR with SOC has an inverse linear form. IR = -0.2307·SOC + 20.543 for individual cases; IR = -0.2113·SOC + 19.756 for averaged values of IR in different ranges of SOC values.

Keywords:
surface ozone concentration, СOVID-19, infection positive rate.
Published: Dec 28, 2023

Article Details

How to Cite
Amiranashvili, A. G., Japaridze, N. D., Kharchilava, J. F., Khazaradze, K. R., & Revishvili, A. A. (2023). Results of a Study on the Impact of Surface Ozone Concentration on the Spread of COVID-19 in Tbilisi. Journals of Georgian Geophysical Society, 26(2). https://doi.org/10.60131/ggs.2.2023.7446
Section
Articles

References

World Health Organization. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (‎COVID-19)‎. Situation report. 67, 2020.

World Health Organization. COVID-19 epidemiological update – 22 December 2023.Edition 162, 22 December 2023, 26 p. https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/covid-19-epidemiological-update---22-december-2023

Covid-19 Georgia. COVID-19 Report of the National Center for Disease Control &Public Health, 2020-2022. The 9th Revision. 163 p., 2022, (in Georgian). http://test.ncdc.ge/Handlers/GetFile.ashx?ID=c6c26041-e123-4591-b1c6-50103eb5205f

Amiranashvili A.G, Khazaradze K.R, Japaridze N.D. Twenty weeks of the pandemic of coronavirus Covid-19 in Georgia and neighboring countries (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Russia). Preliminary comparative statistical data analysis. Int. Sc. Conf. „Modern Problems of Ecology“, Proc., ISSN 1512-1976, v. 7, Tbilisi-Telavi, Georgia, 26-28 September, 2020, pp. 364-370.

Amiranashvili A.G., Khazaradze K.R., Japaridze N.D. Analysis of twenty-week time-series of confirmed cases of New Coronavirus COVID-19 and their simple short-term prediction for Georgia and neighboring countries (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Russia) in amid of a global pandemic. medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.09.20191494, 2020, 13 p.

Europe PMC, https://europepmc.org/article/ppr/ppr213467

Amiranashvili A.G., Khazaradze K.R., Japaridze N.D. The Statistical Analysis of Daily Data Associated with Different Parameters of the New Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic in Georgia and their Short-Term Interval Prediction from September 2020 to February 2021. medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.04.01.21254448, 2021, 18 p.

Amiranashvili A.G., Khazaradze K.R., Japaridze N.D. The Statistical Analysis of Daily Data Associated with Different Parameters of the New Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic in Georgia and their Short-Term Interval Prediction in Spring 2021. medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.06.16.21259038, 2021.

Amiranashvili A.G., Khazaradze K.R., Japaridze N.D. The Statistical Analysis of Daily Data Associated with Different Parameters of the New Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic in Georgia and their Two-Week Interval Prediction in Summer 2021. medRxiv preprint, 2021, doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.09.08.21263265, 2021, 20 p.

Amiranashvili A., Khazaradze K., Japaridze N., Revishvili A. Analysis of the Short-Term Forecast of Covid-19 Related Confirmed Cases, Deaths Cases and Infection Rates in Georgia from September 2020 to October 2021. InternationalScientificConference „Natural Disasters in the 21st Century: Monitoring, Prevention, Mitigation“. Proceedings, ISBN 978-9941-491-52-8, Tbilisi, Georgia, December 20-22, 2021. Publish House of Iv. Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Tbilisi, 2021, pp. 167 - 171.

Amiranashvili A.G., Khazaradze K.R., Japaridze N.D. The Statistical Analysis of Daily Data Associated with Different Parameters of the New Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic in Georgia and their Monthly Interval Prediction from September 1, 2021 to December 31, 2021. 22 p. Europe PMC plus. Preprint from medRxiv, 16 Jan 2022, DOI: 10.1101/2022.01.16.22269373, PPR: PPR443384

Amiranashvili A.G., Khazaradze K.R., Japaridze N.D. The statistical analysis of daily data associated with different parameters of the New Coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic in Georgia and their monthly interval prediction from January 1, 2022 to March 31, 2022. 20 p. Preprint from medRxiv, 21Apr 2022, medRxiv 2022.04.19.22274044; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.19.22274044

Fatimah B., Aggarwal P., Singh P. Gupta A. (2022). A Comparative Study for Predictive Monitoring of COVID-19 Pandemic. Applied Soft Computing. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2022.108806, 2022, 43 p.

Kathleen C. M. de Carvalho, João Paulo Vicente, João Paulo Teixeira. COVID-19 Time Series Forecasting – Twenty Days Ahead. Procedia Computer Science, 196, 2022, pp. 1021–1027, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0

Martin Drews, Pavan Kumar, Ram Kumar Singh, Manuel De La Sen, Sati Shankar Singh, Ajai Kumar Pandey, Manoj Kumar, Meenu Rani, Prashant Kumar Srivastava. Model-Based Ensembles: Lessons Learned from Retrospective Analysis of COVID-19 Infection Forecasts Across 10 Countries. Science of the Total Environment, 806, 150639, 2022, 10 p., https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.150639

Amiranashvili A.G., Khazaradze K.R., Japaridze N.D. Comparative Analysis of Reported Deaths Cases Associated with the New Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic in the South Caucasus Countries (Armenia,Azerbaijan, Georgia) from March 2020 to May 2022. medRxiv 2022.04.19.22274044; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.19.22274044

Sahin M. Impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey. Sci. Total Environ 728:138810, 2020.

Nottmeyer L.N., Sera F. Influence of temperature, and of relative and absolute humidity on COVID-19 incidence in England - A multi-city time-series study. Environ. Res. 196: 110977, 2021

Islam A. The Effect of Weather Pattern on the Second Wave of Coronavirus: A cross study between cold and tropical climates of France, Italy, Colombia, and Brazil. medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.12.28.21268496, 2021

Wang J., Tang K., Feng K., Lin X., Lv W., et al. Impact of temperature and relative humidity on the transmission of COVID-19: a modelling study in China and the United States. BMJ, 11(2): e043863, 2021.

Ceylan Z. Insights into the relationship between weather parameters and COVID-19 outbreak in Lombardy, Italy. International Journal of Healthcare Management. 14(1), 2021, pp. 255-263.

Abdullrahman M. The effect of meteorological conditions on the spread of COVID-19 cases in six major cities in Saudi Arabia. J. Comm. Med. and Pub. Health. Rep., ISSN: 2692-9899, 3(01), 2022, 6 p. https://doi.org/10.38207/JCMPHR/2022/FEB/03010410

Haga L., Ruuhela R., Auranen K., Lakkala K., Heikkilä A., Gregow H. Impact of Selected Meteorological Factors on COVID-19 Incidence in Southern Finland during 2020–2021. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health. 19, 13398, 2022. https:// doi.org/10.3390/ijerph192013398

Amiranashvili A., Japaridze N., Kartvelishvili L., Khazaradze K., Revishvili A. Preliminary Results of a Study on the Impact of Some Simple Thermal Indices on the Spread of COVID-19 in Tbilisi. Journal of the Georgian Geophysical Society, e-ISSN: 2667-9973, p-ISSN: 1512-1127, Physics of Solid Earth, Atmosphere, Ocean and Space Plasma, v. 25(2), 2022, pp. 59–68. DOI: https://doi.org/10.48614/ggs2520225961

Kartvelishvili L., Tatishvili M., Amiranashvili A., Megrelidze L., Kutaladze N. Weather, Climate and their Change Regularities for the Conditions of Georgia. Monograph, Publishing House “UNIVERSAL”, ISBN: 978-9941-33-465-8, Tbilisi 2023, 406 p., https://doi.org/10.52340/mng.9789941334658

Amiranashvili A., Bliadze T., Japaridze N., Khazaradze K., Revishvili A. Angstrom Fire Index as a Bioclimatic Indicator (Using the Example of the Impact on the Spread of Covid-19 in Tbilisi). Int. Sc. Conf. "Geophysical Processes in the Earth and its Envelopes". Proceedings, ISBN 978-9941-36-147-0, Publish House of Iv. Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, November 16-17, 2023, pp. 328-331. http://openlibrary.ge/handle/123456789/10467

To T., Zhang K., Maguire B., Terebessy E., Fong I., Parikh S., Zhu J., Su Y. UV, Ozone, and COVID-19 Transmission in Ontario, Canada using Generalised Linear Models. Environmental Research, 194, 2021, 110645. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2020.110645

Zoran M. A., Savastru R. S., Savastru D. M., Tautan M. N. Assessing the Relationship Between Ground Levels of Ozone (O3) and Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) with Coronavirus (COVID-19) in Milan, Italy. Science of The Total Environment, 740, 2020, 140005. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140005

Lolli S., Vivone G. The role of Tropospheric Ozone in Flagging COVID-19 Pandemic Transmission. Bulletin of Atmospheric Science and Technology, 1(3-4), 2020, pp. 551–555. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42865-020-00026-1

Ran J., Zhao S., Han L., Chen D., Yang Z., Yang L., Wang M. H., He D. The Ambient Ozone and COVID-19 Transmissibility in China: A Data-Driven Ecological Study of 154 Cities. Journal of Infection, 81(3), 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2020.07.011

Wiśniewski O., Kozak W., Wiśniewski M. The Ground Level Ozone Concentration is Inversely Correlated with the Number of COVID-19 Cases in Warsaw, Poland. Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.20.20198366

Pulice J. Potential Effects of Tropospheric Ozone on COVID-19 Incidence in the United States [University of Miami], 2023. https://scholarship.miami.edu/esploro/outputs/graduate/Potential-Effects-of-Tropospheric-Ozone-on/991031788514002976

Amiranashvili A.G., Kirkitadze D.D., Kekenadze E.N. Pandemic of Coronavirus COVID-19 and Air Pollution in Tbilisi in Spring 2020. Journal of the Georgian Geophysical Society, ISSN: 1512-1127, Physics of Solid Earth, Atmosphere, Ocean and Space Plasma, v. 23(1), 2020, pp. 57-72. DOI: https://doi.org/10.48614/ggs2320202654

Hinkle D. E., Wiersma W., Jurs S. G. Applied Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences. Boston, MA, Houghton Mifflin Company, ISBN: 0618124055; 9780618124053, 2003, 756 p.